Presidential Election Electoral College-igami Probability

Based on 0 possible outcomes.
Most likely scorigami
Scorigami Bar Chart
Scorigami Map
Most likely non-scorigami
Non-Scorigami Bar Chart
Non-Scorigami Map
Electoral Outcomes Grid

What is NFL Scorigami?

Scorigami refers to a unique final score in an NFL game that has never happened before in the league's history. The idea was popularized by Jon Bois, who created a project to track and predict new, never-before-seen NFL scores. Every time a game ends with a final score that has never occurred before in NFL history, it would be considered a "Scorigami."

For example, if a game finishes 29-18 and that exact score combination has never appeared in any prior NFL game, it would be considered a Scorigami. NFLScorigami.com tracks these scores in real time, adding a layer of excitement for fans as they observe rare combinations of points that have never occurred across over 100 years of NFL history.

What is Electoral College-igami?

In a similar vein to NFL Scorigami, Electoral College-igami applies the concept to the U.S. presidential election's electoral vote outcomes. In every U.S. election, a candidate must secure at least 270 electoral votes from the possible 538 to win.

Just like with NFL scores, where fans eagerly track never-before-seen results, the goal of presidentigami is to explore and track the possibility of an electoral college scorigami.

How Electoral Collegeigami Works

  1. Historical Data Collection: We gather the results of every U.S. presidential election since the Electoral College was established. Each election result is a pair of numbers representing how many electoral votes each candidate received.
  2. Simulating Electoral Outcomes: By leveraging the current betting odds for electoral district winner, we simulate all possible election outcomes and quantify the likelihood of a scorigami outcome vs boring non-gami.
  3. For Nerds: If you are interested in the behind-the-scenes, you can find my extremely poorly managed repo here.